RFK Jr.

During the past two weeks I’ve listened to several of the RFK Jr. podcasts, and I am quite wowed by them.

Just listened to the latest, Ben Abelow, and Ben was fantastic.

But almost all that I’ve listened to have been very good.

I am very impressed with RFK for his knowledge and effectiveness with words. He seems trustworthy, although some clips and quips have given me pause. Lately, he does not come across as vain. Maybe he is good actor, but his ability as an analyst and as a podcast host is proven.

I need to listen to some of the podcasts with titles that I am more dubious about. Maybe that will alter my assessment of his judgment. On the other hand, maybe I’ll feel that my notions on the topic were off.

I’ve been thinking about scenarios for the 2024 election:

Right now, I would put the combined probability of his becoming in 2025 either president or vice-president at > 10 percent.

I put the probability of his being taken out prior to the determination of the Dem candidate pretty low.

I think that his full participation in the Dem primary would be sufficient to make him a very historic figure. By “full participation” I simply mean his not being taken out.

His discourse through the Dem primary is going to be a very major shock to the prevailing reign of lies. A very, very welcome thing. I think it very unlikely that he win the Dem primary both because the Left Pole will rig it against him and because I think too few Dem-primary voters would vote for him even in a fair contest. But it is going to be interesting to see Dem v. Dem over RFK during the primary race.

I understand that the Left Pole, or Dem Central, will likely try to avoid debating him or including him — for the thousandth time showing their “inclusiveness” for the Orwellian sham it is — but RFK will be have been historic in revealing starkly the depravity of Dem Central, by being the elephant in their room — for more than 12 months.

As for an independent run, I think that the conditional probability of winning (that is, the conditional probability of 2.b.i.1 given 2.b.i) is unusually high for an independent run, maybe 20 percent, and if the Repub candidate is a RINO/uniparty type, then I think even higher, though still below 30 percent.

But the main thing for now is that, assuming he isn’t taken out, he will prove to be a quite historic figure, and maybe a very historic figure.

Am I rooting for RFK Jr.?

I am rooting for him for the Dem nomination, for sure.

If he gets the Dem nomination, will I root for him against the Repub? Will I vote for him?

I regard the Repubs to be the lesser evil, so usually I root for the Repub, and when I vote I vote Repub. RFK Jr. is an exceptional figure, however. He has a good answer to, “So why are you with the greater evil?” It is possible that I would vote for RFK Jr. over against the Repub, because his presidency would most likely make the greater evil significantly less evil.